Probability Theory

Paper Code: 
STT-122
Credits: 
5
Contact Hours: 
75.00
Max. Marks: 
100.00
Objective: 

This is a fundamental course in Statistics. This course lays the foundation of probability theory, random variable, probability distribution, mathematical expectation, etc. which forms the basis of basic statistics. The students are also exposed to law of large numbers.

 

15.00
Unit I: 
Unit I

General probability space, various definition of probability, combinations of events, additive and multiplicative law of probability, conditional probability, Bayes’ theorem and its application.

 

15.00
Unit II: 
Unit II

Concept of random variable, cumulative distribution function, probability distribution function, joint probability distribution function, marginal distribution function and their application, conditional distribution function and conditional probability distribution function of random variables and their distributions using: jacobian transformation, cumulative distribution function, moment generating function.

 

15.00
Unit III: 
Unit III

Mathematical Expectation, moments, Sheppard’s correction, conditional expectation, moment generating function, cumulant generating function and their applications, characteristic function and its applications.

 

15.00
Unit IV: 
Unit IV

Levy’s continuity theorem (statement only), probabilities inequalities and their applications, Chebychev inequality, Markov and Jenson inequality. Convergence in probability and convergence in distribution, weak law of large numbers.

15.00
Unit V: 
Unit V

Central limit theorem for a sequence of independent random variables under Linderberg’s condition, central limit theorem of i.i.d. with finite variance, sequence of events and random variables, Zero-One law of Borel and Kolmogorov almost sure convergence in mean square, Kitchin's weak law of large numbers and strong law of large numbers.

 

 

 

Essential Readings: 

Books Recommended/Reference Books

 

1. Kingman, J.F. & Taylor, S.J. (1996): Introduction to Measure and Probability, Cambridge Univ. Press.

2. Loeve (1996): Probability Theory, Affiliated East –West Press Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi.

3. Bhatt, B.R.(2000): Probability, New Age International India.

4. Feller,W.(1971): Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications, Vol. I and II. Wiley, Eastern-Ltd.

5. Rohatgi, V.K (1984): An Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley Eastern.

6. Billingsley, P. (1986): Probability and Measure, John Wiley Publications.

7. Dudley, R.M. (1989): Real Analysis and Probability, Worlds Worth & Books.

8. Tucket H.G. (1967): A Graduate Course in Probability, Academic Press.

9. Basu, A.K. (1999): Measure Theory and Probability, PHI.

 

 

Academic Year: